Wyatt Johnston has officially graduated from promising young forward to elite fantasy hockey option. My Wyatt Johnston point projections for 2026-27 have the Dallas Stars centre producing 41 goals, 52 assists and 93 points in 84 games.
That forecast may initially look conservative after Johnston scored 45 goals last season, but his projected decline in goals does not represent a step backward. Johnston scored an extraordinary 27 power-play goals and converted 21.8 percent of his shots in 2025–26. Both numbers will be difficult to repeat, even for a gifted finisher playing a prominent role on one of the NHL’s most dangerous offensive teams.
The encouraging part for fantasy managers is that Johnston does not need to repeat those percentages to remain an elite producer. His ice time, power-play deployment and chemistry with Mikko Rantanen give him a legitimate path toward another 90-point season. With the NHL expanding its regular-season schedule to 84 games in 2026–27, Johnston will also have two additional opportunities to add to his totals.
Wyatt Johnston Fantasy Hockey Projection for 2026-27
| Games | Goals | Assists | Points | Projected Power-Play Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 41 | 52 | 93 | 33 |
Johnston finished the 2025–26 regular season with 45 goals, 41 assists and 86 points in 82 games. That works out to approximately 1.05 points per game. Simply carrying that scoring rate across the new 84-game schedule would result in roughly 88 points, but I expect Johnston’s continued development as a playmaker to push him beyond that baseline.
My projection adds five points to that schedule-adjusted total because Johnston should continue receiving premium offensive opportunities. He averaged more than 20 minutes per game last season and played alongside Rantanen on Dallas’ top line late in the year. He was also featured on a first power-play unit that included high-end finishers and creators such as Rantanen and Jason Robertson, with Miro Heiskanen directing play from the blue line.
Why Wyatt Johnston’s Goals Could Dip While His Fantasy Value Rises
The biggest question surrounding Johnston is whether his historic power-play production can continue. His 27 power-play goals established a new single-season Stars franchise record and accounted for 60 percent of his total goals. That is an enormous percentage of his offence coming from one game situation.
Johnston also scored his 45 goals on 206 shots. A 21.8 percent shooting rate is elite, but it leaves considerable room for statistical regression. If his shooting percentage falls into the 17-to-19 percent range while his shot total increases, a finish between 39 and 43 goals becomes the most reasonable expectation.
That is why my final forecast lands at 41 goals rather than projecting another 45-goal season. However, I expect Johnston’s assists to climb from 41 to 52. Playing extensive minutes with Rantanen creates more opportunities for Johnston to generate secondary scoring rather than functioning almost exclusively as the power play’s primary finisher. Robertson’s shooting ability and Heiskanen’s puck movement should also help Johnston collect more assists with the man advantage.
Dallas finished second in the NHL with a 28.6 percent power play last season. Even if that unit regresses slightly, it should remain one of the league’s best because of the talent available to the coaching staff.
Is Wyatt Johnston Worth a First-Round Fantasy Hockey Pick?
Johnston should be considered near the end of the first round in larger fantasy hockey pools and early in the second round in standard formats. NHL.com placed him 16th in its initial overall fantasy rankings for 2026–27, ahead of Auston Matthews and just behind Nick Suzuki.
In goal-heavy leagues, Johnston may be even more valuable because of his finishing ability and secure position on Dallas’ top power play. Fantasy managers should also receive strong contributions in power-play points and game-winning goals, although he is not yet an especially high-volume shooter compared with some other first-round forwards.
My personal observation is that Johnston’s fantasy floor is now extremely safe. He is no longer dependent on a temporary lineup promotion or an unusually productive linemate to generate offence. Dallas has built a significant portion of its attack around him, and his ability to play centre or move to the wing gives the Stars several ways to keep him alongside their best offensive players.
A reasonable fantasy range would be 82 points at the low end, 90 to 95 points as the most likely outcome and approximately 100 points as his ceiling. My official projection of 41 goals, 52 assists and 93 points makes Johnston one of the strongest young forwards available for 2026–27 fantasy hockey drafts.
Wyatt Johnston Career NHL Stats
| Type | GP | G | A | P | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 328 | 134 | 129 | 263 | 17 |
| Playoffs | 62 | 22 | 16 | 38 | -22 |
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