Lucas Raymond is entering the 2026-27 NHL season with a realistic opportunity to exceed 80 points and become one of the more dependable young wingers available in fantasy hockey drafts.
My projection for the Detroit Red Wings forward is 28 goals, 54 assists and 82 points in 82 games. That would represent a six-point improvement over the 76 points he recorded last season while keeping his production within a believable range based on his established NHL track record.
Raymond finished 2025-26 with 25 goals and a team-leading 51 assists for 76 points in 80 games. His goal total declined for the third consecutive season, but the underlying fantasy outlook remains encouraging because Raymond continues to create offence at a near point-per-game pace. He has also averaged approximately 76 points over the past three seasons, demonstrating a level of consistency that is especially valuable in season-long leagues.
The arrival of Viktor Arvidsson gives Raymond another proven finisher to work with. Arvidsson produced 25 goals and 54 points in 69 games last season, and Detroit will be hoping he can help improve an offence that ranked 22nd in the NHL at 2.91 goals per game.
Lucas Raymond Fantasy Hockey Projection for 2026-27
| Category | 2025-26 Result | 2026-27 Projection | Fantasy Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games played | 80 | 82 | Durable top-line option |
| Goals | 25 | 28 | Moderate shooting rebound |
| Assists | 51 | 54 | Strong playmaking floor |
| Points | 76 | 82 | Top-60 points-league potential |
| Projection range | N/A | 74-90 points | Floor depends on Detroit’s lineup stability |
Lucas Raymond Career NHL Stats
| Type | GP | G | A | P | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 400 | 123 | 207 | 330 | -75 |
| Playoffs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Why Raymond Can Reach 82 Points With Detroit
The biggest reason for optimism is Raymond’s expected position on Detroit’s first power-play unit. Current lineup projections have Raymond operating alongside Arvidsson, Dylan Larkin, Alex DeBrincat and Moritz Seider. That group gives Detroit multiple shooting threats, which should prevent penalty killers from focusing entirely on Raymond or DeBrincat.
Arvidsson’s willingness to attack the net could be particularly important. Raymond is at his best when he can control the puck along the half wall, draw defenders toward him and find an open shooter. Adding another player capable of converting those passes should create a few additional primary assists over an 82-game schedule.
I am also expecting a modest goal-scoring rebound. Raymond scored 31 goals in 2023-24 before falling to 27 and then 25. I would not project an immediate jump into the 35-goal range, but reaching 28 goals is reasonable if he shoots more consistently and maintains his premium power-play deployment.
The NHLTradeRumor.com projection model
This projection begins with Raymond’s 2025-26 scoring rate of 0.95 points per game, which translates to approximately 78 points over a full 82-game season.
I then added three points for Detroit’s improved power-play personnel and two points for a reasonable shooting rebound. One point was removed to account for uncertainty surrounding Larkin, who requested a trade after last season but remained with Detroit at the time of this projection.
That produces a modelled total of approximately 82 points:
78-point full-season baseline + three-point power-play adjustment + two-point goal rebound − one-point lineup risk = 82 projected points.
This is an original, transparent projection created specifically for this fantasy outlook. It is not based on information from an agent, scout or private team source.
Lucas Raymond’s fantasy hockey draft value
Raymond should be viewed as a strong second-tier fantasy winger rather than a player who must be selected among the NHL’s elite scorers. His playmaking ability gives him a dependable scoring floor, while his spot on Detroit’s first power-play unit creates a path toward a career-best season.
In a standard 12-team points league, I would begin considering Raymond once the established 90-point forwards are off the board. He carries more value in formats that reward assists and power-play production than in category leagues that heavily emphasize hits, penalty minutes or blocked shots.
My personal approach would be to draft him as an 80-point player while treating anything approaching 90 as a bonus. Fantasy managers should avoid paying for an unrealistic breakout, but Raymond could still outperform his draft position if Detroit’s upgraded power play develops chemistry quickly.
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