If you drafted Jason Robertson last year, you were likely disappointed. His 80 points in 82 games were solid—a reliable return for a top-tier winger. But for those of us who watched his 109-point explosion in 2022-23, last season felt like a step back, a regression to the mean. He was good, but not league-alteringly great.
Well, get ready for the market correction.
I’m telling you now, based on the Dallas Stars’ move at the NHL trade deadline, that 80-point season is Robertson’s absolute floor. It’s the new baseline from which he is set to launch. The arrival of superstar winger Mikko Rantanen changes the entire offensive calculus in Dallas, transforming their already-potent power play into what I can only describe as a fantasy point-generating machine. Forget what you saw last year; the stage is set for Robertson to not just bounce back, but to challenge for the Art Ross Trophy. The question is no longer if he will get back to 100 points, but how far past it he will go.
The Power Play Catalyst: Why Rantanen’s Arrival Changes Everything
Let’s break this down. A top power-play unit of Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, Wyatt Johnston, Mikko Rantanen, and Thomas Harley is, frankly, terrifying. Last season, Robertson was the primary trigger man on the left flank, the player every penalty-killing unit keyed in on. Now? Defenses have an impossible choice to make.
With Rantanen, an elite goal-scorer and playmaker in his own right, commanding the right circle, you can no longer shade your entire defensive box toward Robertson. Doing so leaves Rantanen wide open for a one-timer. If you play them honestly, you leave Hintz to cause chaos at the net-front, Johnston to find soft spots in the high slot, and Harley to walk the blue line with impunity.
This gravitational pull created by Rantanen will give Robertson more time and space than he’s had in years. This translates directly into higher-quality shots and easier passing lanes. Those contested shots become clean looks. Those forced passes become simple tap-ins for his linemates. We’re about to see the most efficient and dangerous version of Jason Robertson yet.
Our Official 2025-26 Fantasy Projection for Jason Robertson
When I look at this roster, I don’t just see a small bump in production; I see a seismic shift. The added dimension of Rantanen will alleviate the defensive pressure that contributed to Robertson’s slight dip in production last season. He won’t have to carry the offensive load alone, leading to less fatigue and more opportunistic scoring. I’m projecting a significant return to form and then some, with the power play accounting for at least 35-40 of his points.
Projected Stats for 2025-2026: 44 Goals, 61 Assists, 105 Points
This projection puts him firmly back in the top-10 fantasy player conversation. The goal total gets a major boost from the space created by his new running mate, and his assist totals will climb as the entire power-play unit cashes in. Draft him with confidence in the first round.
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The post Jason Robertson Point Projections 2025-26: Is a 100-Point Season Inevitable? appeared first on NHL Trade Rumors.
